The most frustrating thing about this cycle has been the lack of House race polling.  There are about 30 House races that I'd probably give a limb to get some type of hard information about.  Fortunately, there is one fewer such race now, diminishing the prospect of an intemperate voluntary amputation on my part.

The latest SurveyUSA poll, commissioned by the conservative Civitas Institute, shows Renee Ellmers leading Bob Etheridge 46 percent to 41 percent.  The poll is of all registered voters, which usually favors the Democrat, and that is certainly the case here.  When looking at people who describe themselves as "10s" when it comes to certainty of voting, Ellmers leads 66 percent to 50 percent; Etheridge does worse among those who describe themselves as less likely to vote -- and those voters do, in fact, usually vote in lower numbers.  Among those who have already voted, Ellmers leads 50 percent to 43 percent.

Needless to say, this is not where an incumbent wants to be five days before the election.

--------------------------------------------
Follow the RCP Blog on Twitter.
Become a fan of RCP on Facebook.
--------------------------------------------