Conway Closes in on Paul in Latest Kentucky Poll
Posted by Kyle Adams | Email This | Permalink | Email Author
Jack Conway, Kentucky's Democratic Attorney General, has pulled within two points of Republican Rand Paul in the Kentucky Senate race, according to the latest poll from SurveyUSA.
Paul leads Conway 49 percent to 47 percent in the new poll, a 13-point turnaround since the last SurveyUSA poll released at the beginning of the month. He leads by 5.8 percent in the RCP Average. The SurveyUSA poll, which was conducted for the Louisville Courier-Journal and WHAS 11, is the second poll in the last month to show the race within the margin of error. A CNN/Time poll taken September 2nd through 7th showed the candidates tied. However, Paul led by 15 points in a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted September 7th.
Paul, armed with Tea Party backing, easily won the Republican primary over establishment pick Trey Grayson. Still, in the general election he has come under scrutiny for taking issue with aspects of the Civil Rights Act and saying the drug problem in eastern Kentucky is "not a pressing issue." As a result, he has become a target of the national Democratic Party, which has attempted to tag Tea Party-backed candidates as extremists.
The gender divide on display in other races across the country is stark in Kentucky. While Paul earns the support of 59 percent of male voters, 55 percent of female voters support Conway. Paul has done a slightly better job of consolidating support among his Republican base. Eighty-three percent of Republicans support Paul while 72 percent of Democrats support Conway. The Democrat holds a 50-45 advantage among independent voters, however.
It's worth noting that the SurveyUSA sample for this poll is 51 percent Democrat and 36 percent Republican. The 2008 turnout in the state was 47 percent Democrat and 38 percent Republican.
Conducted among 611 likely voters from September 21st through 23rd, the poll has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent.
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