One of the most frustrating aspects of this battle for Congress, especially compared with the 2006 variant, is the dearth of non-campaign polling.  So analysts are left going off of hunches on who is vulnerable, or trying to infer things from PVI, fundraising, and voting records.

The party committees, on the other hand, poll constantly.  Thus, you can get a good idea for what is going on by watching what they're actually doing?

So what is the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee doing these days?  It is securing $28 million dollars worth of advertisements in Democratic districts.  There are some "usual suspects" in there -- everyone knew Bobby Bright was vulnerable.  But there are veterans on the list that people had only theorized were vulnerable, such as John Spratt, Allen Boyd and Ike Skelton.  There are also some surprising second-tier or even third-tier races on the list, like Betty Sutton, Ciro Rodriguez, and Gerry Connolly.  All of this paints a picture of a Democratic majority in danger -- but perhaps as imporant, one that knows that it is in danger and is fighting back early.

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