In the wake of his vote for cap-and-trade legislation, Republicans had high hopes for knocking off Democratic Rep. Rick Boucher in this R+11 district that swung heavily against Democrats over the past decade.  But according to SurveyUSA, they've got some work to do.  The fourteen-term Rep. leads his opponent, GOP Rep. Morgan Griffith, by a 52%-39% margin.  Griffith has some room to grow, as Boucher is getting more-or-less unanimous support among liberals and moderates in the district, as well as 32% of the conservatives.  Griffith will need to convince those conservatives to come back to the Republican fold if he is going to become competitive in this.

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