The Las Vegas Sun's Jon Ralston writes today that the Nevada Senate race looks like it will be close. Following yesterday's Rasmussen poll showing Sharron Angle up 7 points and a Wall Street Journal/NBC News national poll, both Angle and Sen. Harry Reid have strengths and weaknesses that Ralston says will tighten the race:

Two polls out Thursday compellingly make the case that Sharron Angle is in serious trouble in the U.S. Senate race while simultaneously arguing that the majority leader is in massive jeopardy. Instead of being contradictory, though, the results perfectly frame the Nevada U.S. Senate race, reflecting exactly what conventional wisdom (that is the omniscience we pundits possess until we are proven wrong, which hardly ever happens) has told us.
...
So these polls neatly frame the contest: If the election is about Reid the congressional leader who helped pass health care reform, presided over the failing economy and rubber-stamped the president's agenda, Angle likely will win. If the election is about Angle and her manifestly unpopular positions, the majority leader will be re-elected.

Either way, all other things being equal (and they rarely are in campaigns), it should be close.

RCP rates this race a Toss Up.

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