Travis Childers (D, MS-01) has done everything that a Democrat representing an R+14 district is supposed to do.  He voted against cap and trade legislation, he voted against health care reform, and he even voted against raising the debt limit.  Nevertheless, he finds himself in trouble.  The Republican polling outfit Tarrance Group polled the race, and found that Childers trails the Republican nominee, state Senator Alan Nunnelee, by a 50%-42% margin.  There's a huge error margin here (+/- 5.6%), and you probably have to mentally add a couple of points to Childers' numbers to account for the Republican nature of the polling firm.  Nevertheless, this is a picture much more consistent with a Democrat who is in trouble than with a Democrat in good shape.  RCP currently rates the race Leans Republican.

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