In light of last night's convincing primary victory for Dona Ana County District Attorney Susana Martinez, RCP has moved the New Mexico Governor's race to Tossup.  Martinez trails Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish by three points in the RCP Average, but has surged in the most recent polling.  This sets up an interesting dynamic for the fall.  New Mexico has long been the most heavily Democratic of the Mountain West states, owing in no small part to the fact that it is among the most heavily Hispanic, but Martinez will be a Republican running with an Hispanic surname in a good Republican year.  Regardless of who wins, New Mexico will get its first female Governor in 2011.

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