PA Sen Polls: It's a 2-Point Game
Posted by Kyle Trygstad | Email This | Permalink | Email Author
With less than a week to go in the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary, two new polls from Franklin & Marshall College and Quinnipiac University find Sen. Alren Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak within 2 points. F&M has Sestak up 2; Quinnpiac has Specter up 2.
Franklin & Marshall (May 3-9, 150 Dem LV, MoE +/- 7.9%)
Sestak 38 - Specter 36
"The key to a Specter victory will arise from his ability to cast doubts on Sestak's credentials and to create a well-organized election-day turnout machine," the F&M pollsters write. "Sestak must continue to build on the momentum he has established as a viable alternative to the incumbent."
The survey also found Allegheny Co. Executive Dan Onorato (D) and Attorney General Tom Corbett (R) well ahead of their gubernatorial primary opponents.
Quinnipiac (May 5-10, 945 Dem LV, MoE +/- 3.2%)
Specter 44 (-3 vs. last poll, May 4)
Sestak 42 (+5)
Und 14
"The intangibles are clearly on Sestak's side. He has the momentum and the anti-incumbent wave sweeping the country is a good omen for the challenger,” said Quinnpiac assistant director Peter A. Brown. "Troubling for Specter is that one in seven likely primary voters are undecided and incumbents – especially 30-year incumbents who have switched parties – rarely get much of the undecided vote."
Sestak leads by 1.2 points in the RCP Average
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