Public Policy Polling (D) (946 RVs, 5/1-2, MoE +/- 3.2%) finds that the open-seat Kentucky Senate race is potentially close, though neither Republican trails either Democrat.

General Election Matchups
Grayson (R) 42 (+2 vs. last poll, 12/18-21)
Conway (D) 34 (+1)
Und 24

Grayson (R) 43 (+1)
Mongiardo (D) 35 (unch)
Und 22

Paul (R) 41 (-1)
Conway (D) 40 (+4)
Und 19

Paul (R) 42 (unch)
Mongiardo (D) 38 (+2)
Und 19

RCP classifies the race as Likely Republican.

PPP points out that the leaders in polls of the respective primaries -- Rand Paul and Dan Mongiardo -- run somewhat worse in the general election matchups. Attorney General Jack Conway is just a point behind Paul. Results of the primary polls after the jump.

Republican Primary Election Matchup
(363 LVs, 5/1-2, MoE +/- 5.1%)
Paul 46 (+2 vs. last poll, 12/18-21)
Grayson 28 (-3)
Other 4 (n/a)
Und 21 (-11)

Democratic Primary Election Matchup
(459 LVs, 5/1-2, MoE +/- 4.6%)
Mongiardo 36 (+3)
Conway 27 (-10)
Other 10 (n/a)
Und 27 (-3)

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