President

Gallup continues to show a bump for the President, up to 50% for the first time in a few weeks.  Rasmussen sees little movement, with this approve/disapprove steady at 47%/52% for the third day in a row.  I've pretty well decided that I'm only going to run the tracking poll numbers at the week's end, unless some major incident occurs that makes it worth looking at them.

Senate

Georgia:  There seems to be a bit of an anti-incumbent mood lurking out there, in addition to the anti-Democrat mood.  Georgia Senator Johnny Isakson is the favorite for re-election in this heavily Republican state, but he leads his opponent, state labor commissioner Michael Thurmond, 51%-35%.  Isakson doesn't appear to be in any immediate threat of losing, but it is surprising to see him barely above 50%.  This is the only poll out there for this race.

California Primary:  The pollsters' consensus is that former Rep. Tom Campbell holds a narrow edge in the race to take on Senator Barbara Boxer.  SurveyUSA finds him leads Carly Fiorina by seven points, with Chuck DeVore coming in twenty points behind.  Capitol Weekly/Probolsky finds a larger edge for Campbell, although it isn't due to a stronger showing on his part so much as weaker numbers for Fiorina.  Campbell leads by six points in the RCP average, and has led in every poll taken this cycle save one.

Governor

Maryland:  Rasmussen once again polled the Maryland gubernatorial race and found former Governor Bob Ehrlich closing the gap somewhat with Martin O'Malley.  Ehrlich trails by three in Rasmussen's latest, which represents a slight improvement in his number, as well as a slight deterioration in O'Malley's number.  Given the partisan bent of the state, we suspect that Ehrlich will come up short, but O'Malley has been below 50% in every recent poll.  O'Malley leads by 6.3 points in the RCP Average.

New Hampshire:  Governor John Lynch usually enters his re-election bids with 152% approval ratings or thereabouts, and gets 70% of the vote.  But 2010 is a very different year.  He leads his GOP opponents, who are mired in the mid-30s, but gets only 47% against all three.  Against Republican front-runner John Stephen, Lynch leads 36%-47%.  This is the second poll in a row to show Lynch at 47% to Stephen's 36%.   This gets him dangerously close to the true danger zone for incumbents of sub-45% polling.  He also suffers from a 44%/42% approval rating.  Finally, most of the undecideds are Republicans, which suggests a race that could break against Lynch.

Lynch is still the favorite, but I have to disagree with PPP's assessment of him as a "strong" favorite.

Wisconsin:  Rasmussen continues to show improvement for Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett against his prospective GOP opponents.  Scott Walker's lead over the Governor has shrunk from a 10-point lead in January to a 2-point lead today.  Most of this is due to Barrett's improving numbers, as opposed to Walker's numbers falling.  Walker leads by 6.2 points in the RCP Average.  Former Congressman and very-nearly-Senator Mark Neumann ties Barrett in Rasmussen, and leads by 4.7 points in the RCP average of that race.

California Primary:  SurveyUSA reappears with a poll showing Meg Whitman leading Steve Poizner by 22 points in her bid to become the Republican gubernatorial nominee.  This is in line with a Capitol Weekly/Probolsky poll showing Whitman ahead by 28 points.  The primary isn't until June 8, so there is plenty of time for this to change.

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