President

Today in Gallup, Obama's approval ratings stayed just under 50%, but his disapprovals dropped two points to 43%.  His approval ratings are now showing a very slight downward trend.  Nothing moved Rasmussen's robots today, with 47% approving and 52% disapproving.

Fox News has the President's job approval at 46-46, which represents an improvement from early April's 43-48 split.

Senate

Florida:  Rasmussen waded into the field with a poll of a three-way race between Republican Marco Rubio, Independent Charlie Crist, and Democrat Kendrick Meek.  Rubio still leads the field with 37% of the vote, but Crist is coming on strong with 30% of the vote.  Interestingly, Kendrick Meek, the Democrat, isn't the beneficiary of the split between the Republicans.  This is probably in part because Crist is relatively popular among Democrats.

Wisconsin:  Most senate races are easily categorized into tossup, leans, likely and safe categories.  The Wisconsin Senate race is not one of them.  Wisconsin has hewn close to the national average over the past few Presidential cycles.  Senator Russ Feingold usually runs a few points behind those national averages, barely winning against a strong GOP challenger in the good Democratic year of 1998, and winning with tepid results in 2004 against a no-name Republican challenger -- this is what happens when you are one of the most liberal Senators in a swing state.  With the national environment the way it presently is, Feingold should be ripe for the picking.

But then Republicans failed to recruit a top-tier challenger.  This, the thinking goes, should move this back toward a "safe" designation.  But polls keep coming out showing Feingold vulnerable.  He leads real estate developer Terrence Wall 49%-43%, businessman Dave Westlake 49%-38%, and former state Commerce Secretary Richard Leinenkugel 48%-37%.  These aren't atrocious numbers, but they aren't good numbers for a three-term Senator.  That's why we're keeping this with a "Lean" designation; we don't think that Feingold will lose, but the scenario is pretty easy to see.

House

New Hampshire:  PPP polled the first and second districts of New Hampshire, and found Republicans in an excellent position to pick up both seats.  In the Second District, former Republican Congressman Charlie Bass, who lost to Paul Hodes in 2006, leads Democrat Katrina Swett 47-26%, receiving 18% of the vote from Democrats.  In the First District, two-term Democrat Carol Shea-Porter trails Manchester mayor Frank Guinta 45%-46%.  Her disapproval ratings are terrible, at 50%, and Guinta holds this position despite being unknown to a majority of the district's voters.

Generic: FoxNews also finds bad news for the Democrats.  42% of Republicans claim that they are very interesting in the 2010 elections, versus 20% of Democrats.  That is a recipe for disaster, for obvious reasons, though I suspect that gap will close as the election nears.  Republicans lead the generic ballot 42%-38%, in a poll taken of registered voters.  Fox also found near-parity among Party ID, with 41% identifying as Democrats and 36% identifying as Republicans, a slight improvement for Democrats over previous polling.  It's a substantial improvement for Republicans from 2009, when they trailed 44%-30%.

--------------------------------------------
Follow the RCP Blog on Twitter.
Become a fan of RCP on Facebook.
--------------------------------------------