Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-Fla.), the likely Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida, trails both his potential GOP opponents by double digits, according to a new Rasmussen poll (Jan. 27, 1000 LV, MoE +/- 3%). Republicans Charlie Crist and Marco Rubio are battling for the GOP nomination -- Rasmussen will release a separate poll for that race later today.

Crist 48 (+6 vs. last poll, Dec. 16)
Meek 33 (-3)
Other 10
Und 9

Rubio 49 (nc vs. last poll, Dec. 16)
Meek 32 (-3)
Other 6
Und 13

In Florida, Obama's approval rating is down to 42%. It was 2 points higher in December. Meek, a Miami congressman, remains the least known statewide among the three possible general election candidates.

Gallup is out this morning with a 50-state snapshot of partisan affiliation, which again shows more states in which Democrats outnumber Republicans. But in a sign of the shifting political winds, the polling finds that "party support shifted in a slightly more Republican direction in 2009 after a historically strong Democratic year in 2008."

In total, 49 percent of Americans identify themselves as Democrats or were Democratic-leaning independents, while 41 percent said they were Republicans or Republican-leaning independents. The party had a 12-point edge, 52-40 percent, in 2008. In terms of state-by-state numbers, 24 states are now classified as "solid Democratic," down from 30 states in 2008; 10 states are "lean Democratic," up from 6; 12 states are called "competitive," up from 10. Only one state is "lean Republican" while 4 percent are "solid Republican," both unchanged from 2008.

Only seven states saw Democrats gain in partisan affiliation: Nebraska (+4), Arizona (+2), South Dakota (+2), Utah (+2), Kansas (+1), California (+1), and Maryland (+1). Ohio saw the biggest drop in Democratic affiliation, dropping 8 points in 2009.

This map varies greatly from the red state/blue state map in federal elections, with some notable standouts: states like Texas, Oklahoma, Georgia and Kansas, which haven't voted for a Democratic presidential nominee in decades, are considered as "competitive states." In some, it's a case of individuals still registered as Democrats who have shifted toward Republicans on a national level. Oklahoma, the reddest of the red states in 2008, has Democrats in every statewide-elected office.