Insiders See Major Democratic Losses
Posted by Kyle Trygstad | Email This | Permalink | Email Author
National Journal's latest survey of political insiders finds operatives from both parties think Democrats will lose a significant number of House seats this year.
Of the Democratic insiders, 45 percent say Dems will lose between 20-29 seats in the 2010 midterm elections, with the average number 24 seats. The highest percentage of GOP insiders (42 percent) say Dems will lose between 30-39 seats, with an average of 33 seats.
Just 6 percent of Dem insiders think the GOP will win back the House, while 22 percent of the GOP insiders think that.
Click through for full results, and see the full story for comments from some of the insiders.
Dem Insiders
No change -- 0%
Lose 1-9 -- 1%
Lose 10-19 -- 24%
Lose 20-29 -- 45%
Lose 30-39 -- 18%
Lose 40-49 -- 5% (Percent who think Democrats will lose control of House)
Lose 50+ -- 1% (Percent who think Democrats will lose control of House)
GOP Insiders
No change -- 0%
Lose 1-9 -- 0%
Lose 10-19 -- 3%
Lose 20-29 -- 31%
Lose 30-39 -- 42%
Lose 40-49 -- 17% (Percent who think Democrats will lose control of House)
Lose 50+ -- 5% (Percent who think Democrats will lose control of House)
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