Sen. Blanche Lincoln's (D-Ark.) re-election campaign is running into some stiff headwinds. Once thought to be relatively safe, a new poll from Mason Dixon (625 RVs, 1/18-20, MoE +/- 4%) commissioned by the Arkansas News Bureau and Stephens Media shows that Lincoln trails two potential Republican foes, and scores just above 40 in matchups with others.

General Election Matchups
Baker 43 -- Lincoln 39 -- Und 18
Holt 43 -- Lincoln 37 -- Und 20
Lincoln 40 -- Coleman 39 -- Und 21
Lincoln 41 -- Reynolds 38 -- Und 21
Lincoln 43 -- Hendren 38 -- Und 19
Lincoln 41 -- Cox 38 -- Und 21

"If we stopped the game today and held the election even though nobody knows who all the Republicans are, I think she'd be hard-pressed to get 45 percent of the vote," Mason Dixon's J. Brad Coker tells the ANB.

Lincoln is also facing some potential primary challenges, from Lt. Gov. Bill Halter and state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Bob Johnson. She leads both potential matchups among a smaller sample (303 RVs, MoE +/- 6%)

Primary Election Matchups
Lincoln 52 -- Halter 34
Lincoln 63 -- Johnson 22

(Post updated to correct numbers in Holt-Lincoln matchup)

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