A new survey from Research 2000 (500 LVs, 1/12-13, MoE +/- 4%), conducted for the liberal blog Blue Mass Group, should put Democrats a bit more at ease about the upcoming special election for U.S. Senate.

Special Election Matchup
Coakley (D) 49
Brown (R) 41
Kennedy (I) 5
Und 5

State Sen. Scott Brown carries independents by a margin of 49-36, while both candidates score in the low-to-mid 80s within their own parties. Brown does, however, crack double-digits among Democrats with 12%.

BMG points out that their poll is the only one conducted since Monday's televised debate.

So far only one poll this week has shown Brown ahead, but strategists in both parties say turnout for the election, taking place on the day after a federal holiday in mid-winter, will be a crucial variable.

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