MA Poll: Coakley Leads Special Election

Among likely Democratic voters (27% of whom know that the special primary for the late Ted Kennedy's Senate seat is next month), Attorney General Martha Coakley holds a commanding lead with 44% of the vote, followed by businessman Steve Pagliuca (17%), Rep. Michael Capuano (16%) and City Year co-founder Alan Khazei (3%), according to a new Suffolk University poll (Nov. 4-8, 600 RV). One-fifth of likely voters remain undecided.

On the GOP side, just 6% of voters know that a special GOP primary will be held in less than a month. Still, State Sen. Scott Brown leads former statewide candidate Jack E. Robinson by a 45%-7% margin, with nearly half of voters still undecided.

In the January special general election, Coakley (D) leads Brown (R) 58%-27%, while Capuano leads 48%-29% and Pagliuca leads 49%-27%. Brown leads Khazei by a 33%-30% margin, with 35% undecided.

For governor, there is a tight race in the GOP primary between convenience store magnate Christy Mihos (33%) and Charlie Baker (30%), former head of Harvard Pilgrim Health Care.

In the general election, though, state Treasurer Tim Cahill (I) leads both Republicans, while all trail Gov. Deval Patrick (D).

Patrick 36 - Mihos 20 - Cahill 26 - Und 18

Patrick 38 - Baker 15 - Cahill 26 - Und 22



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