But this anecdote from a reader had an interesting enough viewpoint, which contradicted my own basic thoughts on Scozzafava's dropping out, and I thought it was worth posting (with light editing):

Sean -- I think you're closer to the truth today than yesterday.  I must disagree that most conservatives had already moved to Hoffman [before Scozzafava dropping out].  Many residents like myself, who are committed Republicans find Hoffman not too appealing- he's suffering from knowledge deficit- but [are never going to vote for a Democrat like] Owens.  DeDe was my choice until yesterday.  So, with DeDe's exit we have to move to Hoffman, and thus the split may go more like this-  DeDe's supporters will:  25 % stay home, 25 % go to Owens, 25% go to Hoffman, 25 % undecided, who will split 50-50, thus Hoffman get ultilmately 37 % of DeDe's vote, as will Owens- since Hoffman leads, he'll win.  Time will tell, and it's getting short.