After a slew of polls from the Minutemen, the Club for Growth, and DailyKos, we finally get a poll from an independent polling outfit, Siena, confirming what those polls have shown:  Republican Dede Scozzafava has become the third party candidate in upstate New York.  Democrat Bill Owens leads Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman and Scozzafava 36%-35%-20%.  The poll was conducted Tuesday through Thursday.

Each candidate leads in an area of the district:  Scozzafava in Jefferson/Lewis/St. Lawrence (in the Northwest portion of the district, which she happens to represent in the Assembly), Owens in the Democratic Northern and Northeastern reaches of the district (Clinton/Essex/Franklin/Fulton/Hamilton), and Hoffman in the area near Syracuse (Madison/Oneida/Oswego).  This is anyone's ballgame on Tuesday, and it is going to come down to a turnout battle between to parties -- the Conservatives and the Democrats -- that don't have much of an infrastructure in the district.