One of the hardest Senate seats for the Republicans to hold this cycle is retiring Senator Judd Gregg's.  But the latest University of New Hampshire poll shows Republican Attorney General Kelly Ayotte leading likely Democratic candidate Paul Hodes by seven points, 40%-33%.  This is especially bad news for Hodes, given that he has higher name recognition than the AG.  Hodes does better against failed GOP gubernatorial candidate Ovide Lamontagne, whom he leads 37%-28%, and Republican National Committeeman Sean Mahoney by an identical margin.