Okay, so its not Stix Nix Hick Pix, but it'll do.

Anyway, the latest UNH poll for Deval Patrick is one of the grimmer polling reports I've ever seen for an incumbent in a state that leans heavily to his or her political affiliation.  Every demographic group except those 35 and under thinks that the state is heading the wrong direction, and majorities of every demographic group except Democrats, recent transplants to the state, and those living in Western Massachusetts (there's substantial overlap among these groups)  disapprove of his job performance.  African Americans disapprove 44%-56%.  His numbers among Independents are an atrocious 16% approve, 68% disapprove.  Not many incumbents win re-election that way.

And in normal situations, he wouldn't.  Patrick trails Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO Charlie Baker 41%-35%, and trails former MTA Turnpike Authority member Christy Mihos 41%-40%.

Patrick does have one silver lining, however.  Treasurer Thomas Cahill is planning to run as an Independent.  This splits the anti-Patrick vote, and gives the Governor a fighting chance.  In a three-way race, Patrick and Cahill tie with about 30% of the vote, while either Republican receives about 20% of the vote.