Dueling polls from the Republican Governor's Association and New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine's campaign all point in the same direction: Corzine is in trouble.  Basswood Research, polling for the RGA, found Corzine trailing his Republican opponent, former United States Attorney Chris Christie, by 48 percent to 33 percent.  The Corzine camp responded with a poll of its own, showing Christie ahead by 42%-38%.

Campaigns and partisan pollsters usually put forth their best case result from their internal tracking polls.  If the best Corzine can come up with is a poll showing him getting 38% of the vote, three-and-a-half months before an election, he's in even deeper trouble than I thought.

Still, Christie is not getting to 50%, which is a real problem for a Republican in New Jersey.  There's a pretty good chance that the undecideds will ultimately break against him.

Before people e-mail me about the capital of New Jersey being Trenton, the New Jersey Governor's mansion is in Princeton.