National Journal Insiders Poll

National Journal conducted an "insiders poll" of Republicans and Democrats to get a sort of party elite opinion on where the race stands.

Not surprisingly, of the Democrats surveyed, 93% think Obama has a high chance of winning.

But on the Republican end there is clear pessimism: 80% think Obama has a high chance of winning, with 20% giving him a moderate chance. Zero gave him a low chance.

That high mark is 63 points higher than it was on Sept. 20, although back then 77% gave Obama a moderate chance and 7% a low chance. So its not as if the Republicans surveyed ever thought McCain was in a good position, but their fears are certainly growing stronger.



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