State Poll Dump: Bush States
Posted by Kyle Trygstad | Email This | Permalink | Email Author
According to newly released polls in states that voted for Pres. Bush in 2004, McCain leads Obama in all but one. He holds small leads in the battleground states of Florida and Ohio -- two states Obama would like to win back from recent GOP control -- as well as Indiana, which Obama is aiming for despite the fact that it's voted Republican in 17 of the last 20 presidential elections. All three states are close, according to the RCP Averages, as McCain's lead in each is less than 3 points.
Obama leads in Iowa, which gave Pres. Bush a one-point win in 2004 after he lost the state to Al Gore by a point in 2000. McCain leads in Missouri, as well as his home state of Arizona, where he failed to break 40% support.
Arizona - Arizona State Univ.
McCain 40
Obama 30
Und 28
McCain leads by 13.7 points in the RCP Average for Arizona
Florida - Rasmussen
McCain 48 (+1 vs. last poll, July 22)
Obama 46 (-3)
McCain leads by 2.6 points in the RCP Average for Florida
Indiana - SurveyUSA
McCain 50
Obama 44
McCain leads by 1.3 points in the RCP Average for Indiana
Iowa - Univ. of Iowa
Obama 50
McCain 43
Obama leads by 5.3 points in the RCP Average for Iowa
Missouri - PPP
McCain 50 (+3 vs. last poll, August 13-17)
Obama 40 (-4)
McCain leads by 4.0 points in the RCP Average for Missouri
Ohio - Rasmussen
McCain 48 (-4 vs. last poll, July 21)
Obama 43 (+1)
McCain leads by just 1.0 point in the RCP Average for Ohio

