Ohio: McCain +5

Just posted numbers from Rasmussen in Ohio show John McCain's lead over Barack Obama slipping to 5 points among likely voters including "leaners:"

McCain 48 (-4 vs. last poll July 21)
Obama 43 (+1)

Overall, McCain leads by just a single point in the RCP Average for Ohio.

I should note that without "leaners," McCain's lead went from 6 points last month to 4 points in the current survey. Another point worth noting from Rasmussen's write up, which seems counterintuitive given that McCain ticked down and Obama ticked up over the last four weeks, is this:

The most discouraging number in the poll for Obama may be the fact that 51% of Ohio voters have an unfavorable opinion of the presumptive Democratic nominee. That figure includes 33% with a Very Unfavorable opinion, up six percent from a month ago.

Overall, 47% of Buckeye State voters offer a positive opinion of Obama. That's fifteen points below the 62% with a favorable opinion of McCain.

For what it's worth, the candidates' favorable ratings from Quinnipiac's last survey (July 23-29) are much more even, with Obama at +17 (50 fav/33 unfav) and McCain at +20 (52 fav/ 32 unfav).


Ohio: McCain +5

Just posted numbers from Rasmussen in Ohio show John McCain's lead over Barack Obama slipping to 5 points among likely voters including "leaners:"

McCain 48 (-4 vs. last poll July 21)
Obama 43 (+1)

Overall, McCain leads by just a single point in the RCP Average for Ohio.

I should note that without "leaners," McCain's lead went from 6 points last month to 4 points in the current survey. Another point worth noting from Rasmussen's write up, which seems counterintuitive given that McCain ticked down and Obama ticked up over the last four weeks, is this:

The most discouraging number in the poll for Obama may be the fact that 51% of Ohio voters have an unfavorable opinion of the presumptive Democratic nominee. That figure includes 33% with a Very Unfavorable opinion, up six percent from a month ago.

Overall, 47% of Buckeye State voters offer a positive opinion of Obama. That's fifteen points below the 62% with a favorable opinion of McCain.

For what it's worth, the candidates' favorable ratings from Quinnipiac's last survey (July 23-29) are much more even, with Obama at +17 (50 fav/33 unfav) and McCain at +20 (52 fav/ 32 unfav).



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