The head of the Mossad, Israel's intelligence service, says Iran will acquire a nuke "within three or four years if its nuclear weapons programme continues to develop at the current pace."

Assuming that's an accurate assessment, and also assuming we don't attack Iran to prevent them from acquiring a bomb before then, that means Iran would go nuclear right around the second year of the next President's first term. Question: does that sort of scary scenario alter the prospects of Barack Obama winning the nomination and/or the general election?

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